combo_edge

Item: combo_edge
Rating: 100
Author: Vouch

shallow

com.predictionmarketspicks/quant · Verify this server

Grade a same-game combo (parlay-style multi-leg position) on a prediction market against its fair value. Given each leg price in cents and your correlation-aware estimate of the true joint win probability, returns the fair-value ODDS BAND to grade a quote against. Pass offeredOdds — the price your platform actually quotes for the combo (Kalshi combo RFQ or an SGP product) — to get the expected-value %, a negative-correlation-trap flag, and a 7-tier verdict (SMASH / PLAY / LEAN / RISK / NO_VALUE / PASS / RUN). Without offeredOdds it returns fair value + band only (no verdict) — never grade EV off the product of the leg prices, which no venue pays. Use for "is this combo worth it", "grade my parlay quote", "same-game combo value". From the PredictionMarketsPicks desk, which publishes a settled per-engine record — every signal graded against the market that priced it, wins and losses both: predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record.

100.0/100

1 trials · measured 8 days ago

combo_edge scores 100.0/100 on Vouch's measured behaviour index, from 1 real invocation trials against com.predictionmarketspicks/quant, measured 25 Aug 2026 under methodology v0.2.0. Every measured component scored 100.

Component breakdown

Component	Weight	Value
Reliability	35%	not applicable
Schema integrity	25%	100.0
Failure behaviour	15%	not applicable
Latency	15%	not applicable
Concurrency	10%	not applicable

Tool details

Transport: remote
Credential class: unreachable
Input schema: not declared
Output schema: not declared
Side-effect classification: unclassified

Score history

Day	Score	Tier	Methodology
2026-08-25	100.0	shallow	v0.2.0

Probe evidence

Probe	Outcomes
schema_integrity	pass: 1

Raw request/response logs are not archived yet — the outcome counts above are drawn directly from every recorded trial.

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