get_draw_model

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Every draw reading FDB4 holds for ONE match — use it when someone asks how likely a specific fixture is to end level, rather than which teams are overdue a draw (`predict_draws` answers that). Five readings come back side by side, because they are not interchangeable: the Dixon-Coles goals model's own probability with the expected goals behind it; the historical draw rate at this fixture's Elo rating gap; the one-parameter blend of those two the site has published since September 2026; the five-feature logistic model that now sits beside it with a 95% band around it; and the bookmaker's draw price where one is recorded. Also returned: when the logistic model was last fitted, over how many matches, and its coefficients — so an answer can explain itself. Identify the match by `match_id`, or by `team` (id or slug) plus an optional `date`; with no date you get that team's next fixture. `is_forecast` says whether the logistic figure is a real forecast (a fixture) or an in-sample description of a match the model was fitted on. Historical pattern, not a betting tip. Costs 1 point per call (1 point = 1 cent); paginated calls cost 1 point per page.