get_forecast_distribution
shallowio.github.smarterweather/weather · Verify this server
Probabilistic forecast guidance from NBM for one aspect of the weather: percentile ranges (p10-p90), exceedance probabilities, and ensemble spread. Use this for any question about odds, ranges, potential or confidence ("how much could we get", "worst case for the wind", "how sure is this") -- a deterministic forecast value cannot answer one. Reading the percentiles: p50 is the most likely outcome, p90 is the reasonable worst case when the risk is the high end (snow totals, wind, rainfall), and p10 is the reasonable worst case when the risk is the low end (cold, minimum visibility, ceiling). A single percentile is not the forecast -- report the likely value with the tail that matters, and label which is which. Aspects: precip (PoP, QPF + percentiles), snow (accumulation percentiles, >1/2/4in probabilities, snow level), ice (freezing rain, accretion), temperature (temp/dewpoint + stddev), wind (speed/gust percentiles), severe (hail/tornado/damaging-wind probabilities), aviation (LIFR/IFR/MVFR visibility + ceiling probabilities), confidence (ensemble stddev; low spread = settled forecast, high spread = details still in play). Examples: {"location": "Denver", "aspect": "snow", "hours": 72} or {"lat": 32.9, "lon": -97.0, "aspect": "severe"}.
1 trials · measured 8 days ago
get_forecast_distribution scores 100.0/100 on Vouch's measured behaviour index, from 1 real invocation trials against io.github.smarterweather/weather, measured 25 Aug 2026 under methodology v0.2.0. Every measured component scored 100.
Component breakdown
| Component | Weight | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Reliability | 35% | not applicable |
| Schema integrity | 25% | 100.0 |
| Failure behaviour | 15% | not applicable |
| Latency | 15% | not applicable |
| Concurrency | 10% | not applicable |
Tool details
- Transport
- remote + stdio
- Credential class
- self-provisionable
- Input schema
- not declared
- Output schema
- not declared
- Side-effect classification
- unclassified
Score history
| Day | Score | Tier | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | 100.0 | shallow | v0.2.0 |
Probe evidence
| Probe | Outcomes |
|---|---|
| schema_integrity | pass: 1 |
Raw request/response logs are not archived yet — the outcome counts above are drawn directly from every recorded trial.
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[](https://vouch.tools/tools/962f6249-70dd-44fb-9852-c868204ce3f6)