get_forecast_distribution

shallow

io.github.smarterweather/weather · Verify this server

Probabilistic forecast guidance from NBM for one aspect of the weather: percentile ranges (p10-p90), exceedance probabilities, and ensemble spread. Use this for any question about odds, ranges, potential or confidence ("how much could we get", "worst case for the wind", "how sure is this") -- a deterministic forecast value cannot answer one. Reading the percentiles: p50 is the most likely outcome, p90 is the reasonable worst case when the risk is the high end (snow totals, wind, rainfall), and p10 is the reasonable worst case when the risk is the low end (cold, minimum visibility, ceiling). A single percentile is not the forecast -- report the likely value with the tail that matters, and label which is which. Aspects: precip (PoP, QPF + percentiles), snow (accumulation percentiles, >1/2/4in probabilities, snow level), ice (freezing rain, accretion), temperature (temp/dewpoint + stddev), wind (speed/gust percentiles), severe (hail/tornado/damaging-wind probabilities), aviation (LIFR/IFR/MVFR visibility + ceiling probabilities), confidence (ensemble stddev; low spread = settled forecast, high spread = details still in play). Examples: {"location": "Denver", "aspect": "snow", "hours": 72} or {"lat": 32.9, "lon": -97.0, "aspect": "severe"}.

100.0/100

1 trials · measured 8 days ago

get_forecast_distribution scores 100.0/100 on Vouch's measured behaviour index, from 1 real invocation trials against io.github.smarterweather/weather, measured 25 Aug 2026 under methodology v0.2.0. Every measured component scored 100.

Component breakdown

ComponentWeightValue
Reliability35%not applicable
Schema integrity25%100.0
Failure behaviour15%not applicable
Latency15%not applicable
Concurrency10%not applicable

Tool details

Transport
remote + stdio
Credential class
self-provisionable
Input schema
not declared
Output schema
not declared
Side-effect classification
unclassified

Score history

DayScoreTierMethodology
2026-08-25100.0shallowv0.2.0

Probe evidence

ProbeOutcomes
schema_integritypass: 1

Raw request/response logs are not archived yet — the outcome counts above are drawn directly from every recorded trial.

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Vouch score: get_forecast_distribution
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get_forecast_distribution — Vouch