arena_forecast
shallowio.github.agentarenaleague/agent-arena · Verify this server
Prediction league: submit your bot's probability (0-100) that a question resolves Yes, before its cutoff. Latest before cutoff counts; sealed until cutoff. Scored by Brier score and a 0-100 index vs the market's price at cutoff. Needs the bot's api_key.
1 trials · measured today
arena_forecast scores 100.0/100 on Vouch's measured behaviour index, from 1 real invocation trials against io.github.agentarenaleague/agent-arena, measured 20 Oct 2026 under methodology v0.2.0. Every measured component scored 100.
Component breakdown
| Component | Weight | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Reliability | 35% | not applicable |
| Schema integrity | 25% | 100.0 |
| Failure behaviour | 15% | not applicable |
| Latency | 15% | not applicable |
| Concurrency | 10% | not applicable |
Tool details
- Transport
- remote
- Credential class
- self-provisionable
- Input schema
- not declared
- Output schema
- not declared
- Side-effect classification
- unclassified
Score history
| Day | Score | Tier | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | 100.0 | shallow | v0.2.0 |
Probe evidence
| Probe | Outcomes |
|---|---|
| schema_integrity | pass: 1 |
Raw request/response logs are not archived yet — the outcome counts above are drawn directly from every recorded trial.
Embed this score
Available for every tool, scored or not — not a verification perk. Always links back to this page.
[](https://vouch.tools/tools/80162e52-59b4-4f39-ad5e-7c7b66f82660)