forecast_next

io.github.beepboop2025/noisefloor · Verify this server

Estimate the next observation of one numeric series using the last value as a point forecast and adaptive historical absolute-error quantiles for an empirical interval. Use for a one-step baseline or uncertainty display; choose score_forecasts to check this same method on historical prefixes before relying on it. At least 11 chronological readings are required; shorter valid histories return ok=false with reading. Successful results contain ok=true, forecast, interval [lower, upper], nominal_coverage, adaptive_alpha and error_history_size. Forecast and bounds use the input's units; the horizon is one supplied observation, not a timestamp or market session. Coverage is a target, not a next-step or changing-market guarantee. This does not fetch prices or train a custom model. Example: {"values":[10,11,10,12,11,13,12,13,14,13,15],"nominal":0.8}.