workflow.run_window_fair_value

shallow

io.github.SKalinin909/tradingcalc · Verify this server

Theoretical fair value for a time-windowed crypto up/down contract (the shape ADI Predictstreet and Kalshi-style daily crypto markets use: pays out based on whether the settlement price finishes at/above or below a reference price pinned at window open, by a fixed close time): a cash-or-nothing digital option, priced with the standard N(d2) formula. Use this when there's no live market price to read (e.g. a venue's contract has real terms but zero trading volume) instead of a live-market odds tool. Volatility is a required manual input; there is no live implied-vol market on these contracts to pull it from. Use when user asks "what should this up/down contract be worth?" or "what's the fair probability BTC finishes above $X in N minutes?". Returns: d1, d2, probAbovePct, probBelowPct, fairPriceAboveCents, fairPriceBelowCents (cents convention, directly comparable to how these venues quote a contract).

100.0/100

1 trials · measured 26 days ago

workflow.run_window_fair_value scores 100.0/100 on Vouch's measured behaviour index, from 1 real invocation trials against io.github.SKalinin909/tradingcalc, measured 23 Sept 2026 under methodology v0.2.0. Every measured component scored 100.

Component breakdown

ComponentWeightValue
Reliability35%not applicable
Schema integrity25%100.0
Failure behaviour15%not applicable
Latency15%not applicable
Concurrency10%not applicable

Tool details

Transport
remote
Credential class
self-provisionable
Category
Finance & compliance
Input schema
not declared
Output schema
not declared
Side-effect classification
unclassified

Score history

DayScoreTierMethodology
2026-09-23100.0shallowv0.2.0

Probe evidence

ProbeOutcomes
schema_integritypass: 1

Raw request/response logs are not archived yet — the outcome counts above are drawn directly from every recorded trial.

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Vouch score: workflow.run_window_fair_value
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workflow.run_window_fair_value — Vouch