probability_venue-calibration
shallowio.github.praneeth12098/x402-factory · Verify this server
Free: how well prediction-market prices forecast outcomes, per venue. Calibration scorecard for prediction-market venues from resolved markets: the venue's implied probability at fixed horizons before resolution (24h, 7d, 30d) scored against what actually happened — Brier score, base rate, sharpness, and sample counts per venue × category × horizon, with reliability deciles once a cell reaches n ≥ 200. Horizon prices are captured before resolution (never resolution-day prices) and accrue durably. Derived analytics only; free so you can judge market prices before paying for anything built on them. [HTTP: GET /v1/calibration/venues · price free via x402 · docs https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.venue-calibration]
1 trials · measured today
probability_venue-calibration scores 100.0/100 on Vouch's measured behaviour index, from 1 real invocation trials against io.github.praneeth12098/x402-factory, measured 20 Oct 2026 under methodology v0.2.0. Every measured component scored 100.
Component breakdown
| Component | Weight | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Reliability | 35% | not applicable |
| Schema integrity | 25% | 100.0 |
| Failure behaviour | 15% | not applicable |
| Latency | 15% | not applicable |
| Concurrency | 10% | not applicable |
Tool details
- Transport
- remote
- Credential class
- self-provisionable
- Input schema
- not declared
- Output schema
- not declared
- Side-effect classification
- unclassified
Score history
| Day | Score | Tier | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | 100.0 | shallow | v0.2.0 |
Probe evidence
| Probe | Outcomes |
|---|---|
| schema_integrity | pass: 1 |
Raw request/response logs are not archived yet — the outcome counts above are drawn directly from every recorded trial.
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