calculate_expected_value

io.github.simonmak-ascent/fair-value · Verify this server

Expected-value engine. Compute expected values over discrete, continuous, simulated, or tree-structured uncertainty, plus football-field ranges. Use this for generic probability weighting of scenarios, Monte-Carlo and decision trees; it does NOT perform IFRS/HKFRS measurement of provisions, insurance or employee-benefit obligations (use calculate_actuarial_pv), and it does not price path-dependent payoffs (use calculate_structured_product). Methods: discrete: outcomes, probabilities; continuous: distribution, mean, std, lower, upper; scenario: scenarios; monte_carlo: iterations, distributions, base_params, seed; decision_tree: tree; football_field: estimates. Supply exactly one method with its declared inputs (no defaults). An unknown method, a missing input, or an extra field returns an error envelope (code INVALID_ARGUMENT) instead of raising.