overfitting_odds
shallowxyz.regimetoken/regime · Verify this server
Overfitting check: how many attempts plain chance needs to produce the track record you were shown. Give the wins, the losses and how many versions were tried: you get the exact binomial odds of one try reaching it, the odds once somebody shows you the best of N, and how many tries would make it an even bet. Arithmetic only — no market data, no model, no opinion. A 62% win rate over 100 trades is one thing on the first try, nothing on the fiftieth. Use when you are shown a win rate, a backtest or a signal channel's record and need to know whether luck explains it. Needs no coin. For what a named rule did on real prices use strategy_grid_lookup; to place a return among real accounts, leaderboard_rank_check.
1 trials · measured 2 days ago
overfitting_odds scores 100.0/100 on Vouch's measured behaviour index, from 1 real invocation trials against xyz.regimetoken/regime, measured 6 Oct 2026 under methodology v0.2.0. Every measured component scored 100.
Component breakdown
| Component | Weight | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Reliability | 35% | not applicable |
| Schema integrity | 25% | 100.0 |
| Failure behaviour | 15% | not applicable |
| Latency | 15% | not applicable |
| Concurrency | 10% | not applicable |
Tool details
- Transport
- remote
- Credential class
- self-provisionable
- Input schema
- not declared
- Output schema
- not declared
- Side-effect classification
- unclassified
Score history
| Day | Score | Tier | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | 100.0 | shallow | v0.2.0 |
Probe evidence
| Probe | Outcomes |
|---|---|
| schema_integrity | pass: 1 |
Raw request/response logs are not archived yet — the outcome counts above are drawn directly from every recorded trial.
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