io.github.encodi/simulate-monte-carlo

repo:https://github.com/encodi/simulate-monte-carlo

Real Monte Carlo simulation of a compound event/conditional probability. Paid via x402.

transport:: remote
credential class:: self-provisionable
repo:: https://github.com/encodi/simulate-monte-carlo

No longer in the registry. The MCP registry stopped listing this server as of 20 Oct 2026. This page stays available because the measurement was real, but the server is excluded from search, rankings, and Vouch’s corpus counts. A published behaviour score is never recomputed or removed — it reflects what was measured while the server was listed.

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Tools

simulate_monte_carlo
Actually draws random samples from real distributions and counts outcomes, instead of a model guess about a probability. Declare named random variables (uniform, normal, bernoulli, binomial, poisson, exponential, discrete), an "event" boolean expression over those variable names (e.g. "a > 0.5 && b == 1"), and an optional "condition" expression to estimate a conditional probability P(event | condition) by rejection sampling. Event/condition expressions are parsed and evaluated by a small built-in interpreter (arithmetic, comparisons, &&/||/!, min/max/abs) — no arbitrary code execution. Returns the estimated probability, a 95% confidence interval, and the seed used (pass the same seed back to reproduce the exact result). Costs $0.03 USDC (Base) per call.
shallow

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