media.probable/news

Tools

• acknowledge_watch

  Mark all currently unread matches on one owned watch as read. Requires watches:write and an Idempotency-Key.

  shallow
• create_watch

  Create a Founding Pro saved watch. Requires watches:write; repeat the same Idempotency-Key to safely replay the same request.

  shallow
• discover_events

  Use to rank cited events in the latest completed edition by probable, rare, or overweighted mode. Keep research priors separate from measured current-edition counts. Do not describe the result as a forecast or a probability that an event occurred.

  shallow
• export_edition

  Export an edition as source-grounded Markdown or CSV. Requires member authorization with exports:read and an active Founding Pro entitlement.

  shallow
• get_brief

  Use for a current news brief or catch-up job. Return a five-story cited brief diversified across category, event class, and publisher by default. Use chronological or all for stable cursor paging. A balanced resumeCursor continues as a complete chronological change stream, even when the client repeats mode=balanced. Follow unreadCursor before saving resumeCursor. Do not use as a general web search or for events Probable did not observe.

  shallow
• get_context

  Use when a user supplies a headline or a source URL already observed by Probable and wants same-class context. Optional referenceContext adds explicit country, magnitude, industry or aviation scope for primary-source population references; missingFields and conflicts explain withheld matches. Unknown URLs are not fetched and instead request a headline. Do not use this to verify occurrence, compare unrelated event classes, or forecast.

  shallow
• get_membership

  Return Free and Founding Pro terms and available Stripe-hosted checkout URLs. Calling this tool does not open checkout or claim payment success.

  shallow
• list_classes

  Return the versioned category and event-class catalog used by score_headline. The editorial index is a legacy comparison weight, not an empirical probability.

  shallow
• list_editions

  List every stored edition with public metadata, free/paid status, exact prices, and the URLs that can unlock paid content.

  shallow
• list_watches

  List the member's saved monitors and recent matches. Requires member authorization with watches:read and an active Founding Pro entitlement.

  shallow
• read_edition_by_date

  Read a stored edition inside the seven-day public window. Older editions return an access boundary and links; this tool never bypasses membership or payment.

  shallow
• read_latest_edition

  Read the latest source-grounded Probable edition. Every replacement is a different event observed in the same scan and category with a higher editorial comparison index; that index is not a measured occurrence rate.

  shallow
• score_headline

  Classify one supplied headline and inspect coverage recurrence. Optional referenceContext adds explicit country, magnitude, industry or aviation scope. When sufficiently scoped, occurrenceReference separately supplies primary-source counts, exposure or published population rates with units and source periods. Missing fields, conflicts and hypothetical/disputed/historical wording are disclosed; news mentions never update source rates. Do not verify a headline, compare incompatible units, predict an outcome, or score a URL.

  shallow
• update_watch

  Update fields on one owned Founding Pro watch. Requires watches:write and an Idempotency-Key.

  shallow

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