io.github.evolutionlabs-dev/signal-bureau
repo:https://github.com/evolutionlabs-dev/cognitive-investor
Maintained, source-traced record of entities and world events. Free to query, no key to read.
- transport:
- remote
- credential class:
- open
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- askshallow
Ask about FUTURE or unfolding events (geopolitics, markets, tech, health — will X happen, and what the tracked record shows). NOT for historical facts or general knowledge — grounding is live tracked coverage, and each call does real model work and rides your identified key: self-issue one FREE in a single call (POST /api/keys — instant, no human, no card) and it carries its own 25/day meter, never shared with your cloud or platform neighbors (universal keying, 2026-08-08; an unkeyed call returns the same one-step instruction, never a dead end). ASYNC BY DEFAULT: returns a claim ticket in ~1s ({status:'working', ticketId}); collect the finished answer with get_answer (typically ready in 30-120s, free to collect — the question was metered once at submit). Keep working while the desk works. If the ticket store is briefly unavailable the full answer comes back synchronously instead — handle both shapes. SHARED STATE: the same question asked again while the record's answer is recent returns the SAME stored answer immediately (servedFrom:'maintained-record', same permalink id) — that consistency is the product behaving as documented; pass fresh:true to force a new synthesis. VERIFICATION VERDICT (sourceChecked): true means every load-bearing claim was located in article-level coverage, at least one cited source is independent of Signal Bureau, AND no claim asserts a stronger operational state than the cited evidence supports (risk, disruption, incident and halt are graded, not interchangeable); a hard claim whose only support is a headline, or one stronger than its evidence, is listed in the caution list and caps the verdict and confidence — pass/fail is always disclosed, with what would change the read. For browsing what is moving, prefer get_signals/top_accelerating (cheap, 500/day). Informational only — not advice.
- create_ordershallow
Assemble a basket and get exact prices plus Stripe checkout links. Checkout runs on Stripe's hosted page, completed by whoever holds the payment credentials. Pass dryRun:true to REHEARSE: same validation, same price math, clearly labeled, no order recorded, no links issued, nothing billed — integration-test the full flow risk-free. Item ids — plans: 'analyst', 'power', 'pilot', 'desk-private', and 'api' (the Metered API account: your identified key — self-issue one FREE at POST /api/keys, no human in the loop — with billing activated by the desk on this order, usage billed monthly at tariff rates, nothing preset — get_quote prices your exact basket first, get_account shows the live statement); unit: 'watch' (reads of the watched question included). Reads are metered per use at the flat tariff rate, never sold as prepaid packs. Live prices come from /api/tariff; this description states none. Watch topics are SELF-SERVE end to end: pass `topics` and every one comes back with a checkout link at the published Watch rate — including a topic nobody watches yet, whose price the desk mints on demand with no human in the loop (that one needs your identified key, free and self-issued in one call at POST /api/keys, and arrives in minutes; poll get_order or the statusUrl on the line). The api line still records intent and the desk activates the account. Every line states its own state and what to do next.
- get_accountshallow
Your meter-account statement, live: month-to-date metered Reads counted at the published tariff, your watched topics with billing/billing status and their acceptance evidence, and your daily cap. Requires your identified key on the request (x-api-key header, or authorization: Bearer sb_live_...). Without a key this tool explains how to get one — every read surface stays available in the free anonymous lanes either way. Recognition is opt-in via credential: no key, no tracking.
- get_answershallow
Collect an async answer by ticketId (from ask). Free and unmetered — the work was paid for once at submit. status:'working' → poll again after pollAfter seconds; 'done' → the complete answer rides in this response; 'failed' or 'lost' → the reason, stated plainly, and asking again is the remedy.
- get_calibrationshallow
Deprecated: this tool is winding down — for evaluating or reading the maintained record, use get_truth_object, get_entity/search_entities, and todays_brief instead. Still served here: the grading dataset for the market sensor we cite, and only that — the prediction-market price (`crowd`) and the naive null it is scored against (`base_rate`), against how reality resolved (Brier score, log loss, skill vs base rate, 95% CIs), each price captured while its market was OPEN and graded as it matured, so the grade cannot be back-filled. No forecaster of ours is published, here or in the full dataset: we sell a maintained, source-traced record and cite market prices as one graded sensor, not a forecast of ours. Full dataset with reliability bins: GET /api/calibration-data.
- get_desk_feedshallow
A newsletter DESK's machine feed at one predictable, slug-addressable location: up to 14 days of the desk's observed items (title, url, source), newest-first, from the same panel the human edition reads. Unlike watch topics, the desk roster is PUBLIC PRODUCT — the desks are: cognitive-investor, tax-nexus, crc-kras, crc-digest, space-economy, paradise-valley, lyt-intel, aztc-aasd, newspace-asu, lq-listening, jedi-knowledge, ud-articles, ecomm-news — so an unknown-desk reply lists them freely. Delivery is keyed (your self-issued key, x-api-key): identified delivery is the standard shape for standing feeds. Desks are priced as labeled topic bundles at the published Watch rate — see DESK_BUNDLES on /api/tariff and get_quote for your exact basket. Each feed's payload declares its own coverage state.
- get_entityshallow
Full dossier for one entity: signal count, verticals it's spreading across, and why it's surfacing.
- get_eventsshallow
Tracked world events (situations, races, negotiations) the engine follows as named arcs — each with its entities, related market-question count, cross-domain mention volume, and first/last-seen dates. Optional query filters by name or entity.
- get_feedback_statusshallow
The state of a report you filed via send_feedback, by its feedbackId: filed, working, or resolved — with its work-order reference. A report filed in the last few hours may still read 'filed'; the response states where it is.
- get_ordershallow
Re-read an order intent created by create_order — the recorded basket and its honest status. Payment truth for checkout purchases lives with Stripe (the payer's receipt is authoritative); metered work is receipted on your meter account and readable via get_account.
- get_quoteshallow
Feed in your requirements — free-form concerns, questions, whole areas of interest — and get back an enumerated quote: your requirements intelligently grouped and disambiguated into well-formed watched topics, each priced flat from the published tariff ($20/topic/month at the opening rate). The count is disclosed in BOTH directions: overlaps are merged, broad requirements are split into the separate daily reports they actually need, and `billing.expansion` states the requirement-to-topic ratio outright so a split is as visible as a merge. Large baskets are resolved in batches, so a requirement the desk cannot place does not sink the rest: you get a quote for everything it could place, `partial: true`, and `unresolvedRequirements` naming what it could not and why — never a topic invented to cover a gap. A quote is not a charge, needs no contact details, and holds for 30 days. Real model work: ~10 quotes/day per network address (shared egress shares the allowance).
- get_recordshallow
Deprecated: this tool is winding down — for evaluating or reading the maintained record, use get_truth_object, get_entity/search_entities, and todays_brief instead. Still served here: the correction record — the flagged-vs-control repricing regression at population level (estimate, 95% CI, cohort sizes, window, as-of), plus the dated retirement object for the case-study track record we withdrew in 2026 when re-measurement put it under our own publication bar. Appended, never edited — including about ourselves. Same object: GET /api/record-data.
- get_signalsshallow
START HERE for browsing — the cheap read (500/day, no model work). The full machine-readable signal feed (same payload as GET /api/signals): every entity currently flagged by the attention engine, with trajectory, domains, desk membership, and an explicit evidenceStatus (receipted rows carry source-attributed evidence URLs; unreceipted rows are labeled leads). Measured property: Measured association: flagged markets repriced materially at 1.65x the rate of matched unflagged controls (95% CI 1.45-1.88, shock-days excluded, controls reweighted to the flagged cohort; n=1699 flagged vs 68593 controls, window 2026-03-29 to 2026-08-22, as of 2026-08-24). An attention-leads-movement association — never a directional claim.
- get_truth_objectshallow
The complete public truth object for a topic — the SAME record the /exhibit page renders, with every layer kept apart and labeled: primary operational sources (verified-as-of dates stated), attributed reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation with the maintained event arc, our derived judgment, the reporting-consensus ledger, and the state-change history. A layer not yet wired for a subject states its pending status on the layer itself — never rendered to look finished. Free — public exhibit data, no key, no charge. Published: hormuz, interest-rates, ai-model-race, israel-iran-conflict, russia-ukraine-war, gaza-ceasefire, us-presidential-2028, brazil-election, strait-of-hormuz, us-midterms-2026, us-government-shutdown, fed-rate-decision, venezuela-crisis, uk-election, us-recession-2026, disaster-event-earthquake, product-launch-spacex, product-launch-falcon-spacex, product-launch-nasa-spacex, product-launch-space-force-spacex, product-launch-spacex-starlink, election-democratic-party-senate, election-france-senate, diplomacy-nato, military-action-ukraine, product-launch-anthropic, election-israel, election-oklahoma, economic-indicator-inflation, economic-indicator-unemployment, funding-round-spacex, legal-ruling-supreme-court, resignation-google, rate-decision-interest-rates, disaster-event-hurricane, election-france, bitcoin-price-level, economic-indicator-gdp, funding-round-stripe, economic-indicator-china-gdp, product-launch-xai, funding-round-perplexity, ceasefire-peace-iran, disaster-event-atlantic-hurricane, election-scott, rate-decision-australia-interest-rates, price-threshold-nvidia, economic-indicator-cpi, economic-indicator-cpi-japan, economic-indicator-gdp-japan, election-chen, election-democratic-party, election-hamilton, election-hong-wisconsin, election-lebanon, election-parliament, election-parliament-russia, election-peru (default: hormuz). Same payload as GET /api/truth/{topic}; the hormuz record is also addressable as the sb://exhibit/hormuz resource. Complementary to get_entity, which returns the broader live entity dossier.
- get_watch_feedshallow
The structured daily delivery for a machine-watched topic: up to 14 days of observed items (title, url, source, date) newest-first, plus the topic's live coverage-acceptance report, which grades the coverage and shows the evidence (it does not gate billing — billing starts when the Watch starts, and the month you are in is refundable in full, any time you ask, for any reason). Delivery is pull: poll daily or on demand. Topics not yet watched: get_quote prices them.
- orientshallow
START HERE on first contact — the front door. Who Signal Bureau is, what's free (most things), what's paid (work: Watches and Reads), the live tariff with real prices, how to propose new coverage, and how buying works. No side effects, costs nothing.
- propose_topicshallow
Propose NET-NEW coverage — a topic, entity, or standing question we don't track yet. Files into the coverage-request queue humans review; accepted topics enter the provisional coverage lane and start appearing in the signal feed. Needs your human principal's contact email for follow-up. Free.
- search_entitiesshallow
Find tracked entities/topics by name or vertical (e.g. 'iran', 'semiconductors').
- send_feedbackshallow
File structured feedback with the desk: a bug, an improvement, a complaint, praise, or a question about the service itself. Free, no contact details required; limits stated up front: 5/minute, 20/day per network address (shared egress shares the allowance). A complaint that names a real defect becomes our work order — house policy — and get_feedback_status lets you watch the state move by feedbackId. Include `ref` (a quoteId/ticketId/orderId from your own records) to tie the report to a specific interaction. The response says honestly whether the report was durably recorded.
- todays_briefshallow
Today's morning brief — the daily synthesized narrative of what moved across the information environment and what to watch, from the engine's cross-domain analysis. Same content as the public /today page.
- top_acceleratingshallow
The entities/topics accelerating most across the information environment right now, ranked by cross-domain attention.
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