com.votepredictor/elections

name:com.votepredictor/elections

2026 US election forecasts with a public accuracy record, plus congressional voting records.

transport:: remote
credential class:: self-provisionable

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Tools

chamber_outlook
Who is favoured to control the Senate or House after 2026: control probability, expected seats with an 80% range, how far it has moved since January, and the races that have moved most.
shallow
forecast_race
Current VotePredictor forecast for one 2026 US election: win probability, predicted margin, whether it comes from polls or fundamentals, how far it has moved this cycle, and the candidates. Accepts a state name or code ('Ohio', 'OH') or a district ('CA-12'). Returns an explicit refusal for races where a candidate has left the ballot and no forecast is published.
shallow
forecaster_accuracy
How accurate each election forecaster, model, prediction market and pollster has been on resolved races, adjusted for how hard each race was. Use this to answer 'whose election forecast should I trust'. Difficulty adjustment matters: on raw scores whoever rated the safest races wins.
shallow
member_profile
A member of Congress by name or bioguide id: party, state, ideology score, reported net worth from financial disclosures, and the 2026 race for their seat.
shallow

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