io.github.nickarstrong/isoba

name:io.github.nickarstrong/isoba

US dollar index, crisis meter, recession and market-top risk from official data, tested since 1990.

transport:: remote
credential class:: open

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Tools

get_current_readings
Today's Isoba readings with the data date: Dollar System Index (DSI, where the dollar system stands and what it is made of), Crisis meter (stress already present in credit and funding, with its four sensors), market-top risk and US recession risk (with how often a 20%+ market fall or a recession followed the same zone in the past), and what changed this week in plain words.
shallow
get_monthly_history
Monthly averages of one Isoba instrument between two months (DSI since 2006, the others since 1990), with the zone of each month. Use it for trends and to see what the instrument showed around past events.
shallow
get_track_record
How Isoba behaved when run point-in-time over every working day since 1990 (only data published by each day, checked for look-ahead): the Crisis meter in 16 crises (what it showed 3 months before, on the day and at the peak, caught in advance / at the time / late / missed), recession risk before 3 US recessions, market-top risk before 4 S&P 500 tops, false-alarm rates, every year since 1990 (average, maximum, days in alarm, what happened that year) and what it does not catch. Call it before claiming reliability.
shallow

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