io.github.beepboop2025/liquilens

Tools

• corporate_transmission_board

  Answers ONE question: whether FUNDING stress is reaching nonfinancial FIRMS — not banks (failure_radar_board), not households (household_credit_board), not money-market plumbing (the Seiche sibling server). Read the Corporate Transmission board for the US basin: is funding stress reaching nonfinancial firms? Channels from free public data (FRED keyless, AOUSC bankruptcy filings): the nonfinancial CP market (spread over bills + the book failing to roll), bank credit lines (C&I revolver drawdown + SLOOS standards tightening), the real-economy confirmation (claims, capex orders, inventories, openings, business bankruptcies), and a balance-sheet context channel capped at WATCH. Serves a TRANSMISSION verdict (counted co-occurrence of the funding and real sides) and a divergence read against the sibling bond board's served regime. Also carries a context-only Seiche Estuary/Oil read of upstream FX, materials, funding passage plus a bounded Ballast/Cushing/Brent-WTI echo; use Seiche's oil_funding_context for the full live-vs-reference oil architecture. used_in_regime and used_in_transmission are always false. Channels that cannot be read are listed in cannot_see, never reported as calm. Display-only: feeds no institution score and no watchlist tier. Returns ~4KB slim by default; pass full:true for thresholds, per-leg basis and method prose.

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• crypto_exposure_board

  Read the compact cited bank/crypto exposure register: disclosed quantum, stablecoin and venue links, exposure channels, Undertow run-risk cross-read and compound flags. Detailed disclosures stay on the public REST detail route. Takes no arguments; display-only, never an institution score or investment advice.

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• crypto_regime_board

  Read the compact BTC/ETH Crypto Regime board: current change-point state, log-SR statistic, last shift, observation count and the display-only cross-read against disclosed bank exposure. Time-series paths stay on the public REST detail route. Takes no arguments; feeds no institution score and is not investment advice.

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• evidence_europe

  Read the seven European case files replayed retrospectively through the unrecalibrated Indian lenses: Credit Suisse, Banco Popular, Northern Rock and Banco Espirito Santo (failed); Deutsche Bank and Monte dei Paschi (stressed survivors); UBS (control). Every figure is audited against the primary filing it cites. Without arguments, returns all seven verdict summaries; pass slug for one full case file with its per-quarter table. These are case studies with citations, deliberately not a cohort — there is no European recall percentage to quote.

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• evidence_india

  Read the full Indian crisis diagnostic: 48 institutions replayed from filing-availability-proxied public filings across two decades, with explicit publication clocks where present and a conservative +60-day proxy otherwise; overwritten amendments remain unreconstructable. Includes per-institution verdicts, lead times in months, uncertainty intervals and the rigor artifacts — misses and false alarms included, never trimmed. Takes no arguments. Use evidence_institution for one institution's complete replay.

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• evidence_institution

  Read one Indian institution's complete construction-PIT crisis replay from the 48-institution diagnostic: the scored quarterly trajectory, the sourced dossier rows behind each score, first-alert bookkeeping (when each lens first fired relative to the failure), and the plain verdict line — hit, miss or false alarm. Call evidence_india first to list the replayed institutions and their slugs.

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• evidence_markets

  Read the historical-evidence headline for each market: India (48-institution construction-PIT diagnostic), United States (industry-wide current-amended-vintage diagnostic), and Europe (named cited case files, deliberately no cohort claim). Takes no arguments. Start here when asked what LiquiLens has tested, then drill into evidence_india, evidence_us or evidence_europe for the full record behind each headline.

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• evidence_us

  Read the US bank current-amended-vintage diagnostic: every FDIC-insured bank scored quarterly from free call-report data, replayed against all 552 receivership failures since 2008 — recall 72.8% at a 21.7-month median lead, AUC 0.854. Includes the marquee replays (SVB, Signature, First Republic, both 2026 catches), the fraud-driven miss kept in full view, and the seven named 2023-2026 misses, published the week they failed; the 2026 scoreboard reads 2 of 4 flagged a year early. Read the semantics before quoting: the flag is a budgeted watchlist (top decile per quarter), not an institution-level verdict, so report the budget beside the recall and the misses beside the hits.

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• failure_radar_board

  Read the live Failure Radar board for India: one row per institution with a fresh vetted dossier — banks, small finance banks, co-operative banks, NBFCs, MFIs and HFCs. Each row carries a corpus-calibrated failure PD term structure (12/24/36 months), a disclosure score, RBI PCA/SAF action-zone status, a funding-fragility index, market-implied distance-to-default for listed names, and a watchlist tier assigned under a published rule. Takes no arguments. Call this first to discover institution slugs, then failure_radar_institution for one name's full dossier. Outputs are research screens, not credit ratings.

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• failure_radar_institution

  Read the full radar dossier for one Indian institution: per-quarter score and failure-PD trajectory with named drivers, RBI PCA/SAF headroom history, the funding-fragility read, forensic-screen evidence, and the market reading for listed names. Call failure_radar_board first to discover valid slugs; an institution without a vetted dossier is reported absent, never scored from memory.

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• forward_odds

  Read the Markov forward odds for every state-bearing public-signal layer: the daily CALM/WATCH/ALARM state chain counted into a transition matrix, plus empirical k-day reach odds from today's state ('given today's WATCH, historical odds of ALARM within 5/20 days'). Counted, never fitted. The withhold discipline is the point: odds are withheld until a layer has 60 observed days, and the accrued count is stated — absence is never precision. Takes no arguments. Display-only context, never a state driver.

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• household_credit_board

  Answers ONE question: whether stress is reaching US HOUSEHOLD balance sheets — not firms (corporate_transmission_board), not banks (failure_radar_board), not money-market plumbing (the Seiche sibling server). Read the Household Credit board: is stress transmitting through US household balance sheets? From free public data (FRED keyless): Fed quarterly delinquency and charge-off legs (card, consumer, mortgage, card charge-offs — level vs each leg's own trailing decade AND the yoy direction; falling never scores), G.19 revolving-credit velocity (two-sided — both tails historically meant stress), and the debt-service ratio as unscored context. The transmission thesis runs household -> corporate -> institution: this board confirms what the funding boards lead. Channels that cannot be read are listed in cannot_see, never reported as calm. Display-only: feeds no institution score and no watchlist tier. Returns ~4KB slim by default; pass full:true for thresholds, method prose and full sparklines.

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• institution_review_packet

  Build the compact human-review handoff for one fresh-vetted Indian Failure Radar institution. Accepts an exact board slug or full name, or one unique case/punctuation-normalized full name; it never fuzzy-matches, guesses a score, or turns an uncovered name green. The packet copies canonical board values, filing-period source URLs, lens bases, named dark/stale coverage, validation/disclosure hashes and an alteration-detection content SHA-256. Human review is always required; the hash is not attestation or proof of publication time.

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• latest_article

  Read today's exact full-text LiquiLens editorial: current institution-risk analysis when the evidence moved, or a labelled historical replay when it did not. Returns the canonical headline, dek, Markdown, evidence clock and passing publication receipt; quote it without regenerating facts.

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• rbi_supervisory_tape

  Read the latest RBI enforcement and supervisory actions — monetary penalties, licence cancellations and supervisory directions — parsed from rbi.org.in press releases, newest first, each item carrying the RBI's own source URL. Takes no arguments. When no tape snapshot exists on the deployment, says so in a stated note instead of returning silent emptiness.

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• stablecoin_rails_board

  Read the compact Stablecoin Rails board: every tracked issuer's peg, redemption-run, direct-chain liability validation, coverage-gated reserve and executable-exit evidence, chain concentration and tripwire state plus the aggregate regime. Series and full receipts stay on the public REST detail route. Takes no arguments; the full oracle state never treats partial evidence as CALM (the separate peg/run alert is retained for compatibility), and the board is not investment advice.

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• universe_search

  Search the RBI's official register of NBFCs (9,000+ entries) by name or CIN substring, optionally filtered by RBI classification and Scale Based Regulation layer. Returns matching register rows verbatim from the public record: official name, CIN, classification and layer. Give at least one of q, classification or layer; an empty q with a filter browses that whole slice.

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• verify_published_record

  Independently verify the as-published record for a ledger stream: recompute the hash-chained point-in-time commitments, check signatures and anchors where enabled, server-side, and return the verifier's verdict verbatim — even when unflattering; that is the point. Use this to check whether the published early-warning track record is tamper-evident and intact.

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